Articles

Methods of Analysis of the Long-term Trends of Global Development

Vostok/Oriens '2013, №2

 
Forecast of population number, demand for fuel and energy, arable land and fresh water up to 2100 is calculated for Western, Slavic-Orthodox, Confucian, Japanese, Hindu, Islamic, African, Latin American modern civilizations. On the basis of these calculations future scenarios for eastern civilizations and world system are worked out.

Keywords: long-term forecast of world development, population dynamics, natural resources, modern civilizations, future scenarios

Pages: С. 5–20