Articles

Demographic Dynamics in Iran (1979–2013)

Vostok/Oriens '2014, №5

 
With regard to demographic processes, the situation in Iran after the Islamic revolution is of special interest. On the one hand, during the first decade after the revolution there was a very high annual population growth rate (about 3 per cent). On the other hand, in the 1990s there was an unexpected fall of the birth rate, which some authors consider to be the fastest fall in the world recently. Nowadays there are few long-term trends. These processes, contrary to some existing stereotypes (one of those is the perception of Iran as a young state with high birth rate), can lead to depopulation and very fast aging of the Iranian population. This article analyses the demographic situation in Iran since 1979 in detail and offers the forecast up to 2100 which helps to understand better current trends of demographic dynamics.

Keywords: Iran, population, fertility, mortality, demographic explosion, family planning

Pages: С. 119–124